Travel · · Yunsuk Choi

1. What changed
The US AAA just published its 2026 Memorial Day weekend forecast, and the headline number is striking. A record 45.1 million people are expected to travel even though gasoline is averaging $4.53/gallon, roughly +42% above last year. The "we're going anyway" mood is real.

*Photo by Samuell Morgenstern on Unsplash*
2. The numbers at a glance
Here are the core figures, pulled together from IndexBox, ABC News, and ABC11 Raleigh.
| Metric | 2026 | Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Total travelers | 45.1M | All-time high |
| Driving | 39.1M | +0.4% YoY |
| Air travel | 3.66M | Slight increase |
| Other (bus, rail, cruise) | ~2.3M | — |
| Avg gasoline | $4.53/gallon | $3.19 in 2025 → +42% |
| Avg airfare | $800 (round trip) | -6% YoY |
3. Why people are still going
"Gas crossed $4 for the first time since summer 2022. But Memorial Day is the kind of holiday where Americans feel they'd be missing out by staying home, so the impact is limited."
— Paraphrased from Main Street Daily News
Three currents are pushing in the same direction.
- Holiday sentiment — Memorial Day signals the start of summer. Skipping it feels like a loss.
- High-income strength — Per Skift's polarization analysis, upper-tier demand remains firm.
- Air is actually cheaper — Average airfare -6% (though jet fuel could feed through after June).
- Shorter trips — Higher gas prices are pushing travelers from long-haul to short-haul, camping, or cities within a three-hour drive.
4. The worst days and times
Per ABC News, here's how the congestion shakes out.
- Worst driving days: Fri May 22 and Mon May 25, 3–6 PM
- Busiest air days: American Airlines on Fri 5/22, Delta on Thu 5/21
- Most crowded airports: Miami, Atlanta, LAX
Travel midweek on Tuesday or Wednesday for the best value-to-headache ratio.

*Photo by Pietro De Grandi on Unsplash*
5. Does this matter for Korean readers?
Even if you're not driving across the US, the data is useful as a global travel-cost signal.
- Airfare trends — A -6% YoY move on US routes ripples into Korea–US direct flights.
- Gasoline — Global crude moves feed into Korean pump prices on a 3–5 week lag.
- Travel patterns — The "short-haul, decentralized" shift translates well to Korean vacations too.
6. Checklist if you're heading to the US
- Pre-estimate rental fuel — 7 days × 1,500 miles ≈ 60 gallons ≈ ~$270.
- Airport → car pickup — Memorial Day weekend often means 1–2 hour waits.
- TSA PreCheck / Global Entry — Saves time both directions.
- Hotels — Cities stacking Memorial Day + school break + a convention will see prices spike.
- Card FX and foreign-use fees — Varies 0–3% by issuer.

*Photo by Daniela Cuevas on Unsplash*
7. TL;DR
- Memorial Day 2026 — record 45.1M travelers
- Gas $4.53/gallon (+42% YoY)
- Airfares -6% YoY, but watch for a post-June reset
- Worst congestion: Fri 5/22 and Mon 5/25, 3–6 PM
- For Korean readers: a useful global travel-cost trend signal
The big takeaway: a 42% gas jump didn't shrink road travel. The cost pressure is being absorbed through alternative destinations and air-route arbitrage instead.
8. Related travel notes
For a related thread, see travel coverage or our #USTravel and #TravelTrends tags. Also see Memorial Day airlines breakdown for a fuller picture.
9. Sources
Sources: IndexBox, ABC News, Main Street Daily News, ABC11, News4Jax
Tags: #MemorialDay #USTravel #Driving #Gasoline